We are excited to announce that Prof. Timothy Delsole will be giving his ESSIC Seminar on Monday December 6, 2021 at 2 PM EST. His talk is titled "Do Models Generate Realistic Simulations?".

Timothy DelSole is a full professor in the Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Earth Sciences at George Mason University, and a senior research scientist at the Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies. His research focuses on the extent to which weather and climate changes can be predicted on time scales from weeks to years. He has been a contributing author and reviewer for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. He is the author of over 120 peer-reviewed scientific papers and a new book to be published this month (December 2021) titled "Statistical Methods for Climate Scientists."

Statistical Methods for Climate Scientists is a comprehensive introduction to the most commonly used statistical methods relevant in atmospheric, oceanic and climate sciences. Each method is described step-by-step using plain language, and illustrated with concrete examples, with relevant statistical and scientific concepts explained as needed. Particular attention is paid to nuances and pitfalls, with sufficient detail to enable the reader to write relevant code. Topics covered include hypothesis testing, time series analysis, linear regression, data assimilation, extreme value analysis, Principal Component Analysis, Canonical Correlation Analysis, Predictable Component Analysis, and Covariance Discriminant Analysis. The specific statistical challenges that arise in climate applications are also discussed, including model selection problems associated with Canonical Correlation Analysis, Predictable Component Analysis, and Covariance Discriminant Analysis. Requiring no previous background in statistics, this is a highly accessible textbook and reference for students and early-career researchers in the climate sciences.

In anticipation of his December 6 seminar, Dr. Delsole is generously giving away a copy of his new book to one lucky ESSIC Seminar attendee! His book is in press with an expected publication date of December 2021.

In order to enter the raffle, enter your email address and name below. When you join the seminar WebEx, please make sure to "Join via the Web" and enter your name as it appears here. We will be cross-referencing the attendee list with the results of this form.

Note that in order to be eligible for the prize, you MUST be present for the ESSIC Seminar during the time of the giveaway, which will occur at the end of the seminar's questions portion. If the chosen winner is not present at the time of the giveaway, we will choose another participant as the winner.

To learn more about the talk, visit the event site at https://go.umd.edu/delsole